Consumer Harm from the Waterbed Effect: A Comment on Inderst and Valletti (2011)

Brian C. Albrecht

(Working Paper) April 2026

Abstract

Inderst and Valletti (2011, henceforth IV) argue that a merger of downstream buyers can locally harm consumers through the 'waterbed effect.' Their Proposition 6 gives a sufficient condition for consumer surplus to fall at the margin. IV verify that a related condition, sufficient for the small firm's retail price to rise, is non-empty. They never check the consumer-harm condition itself. I check it. On IV's both-binding Hotelling path, the consumer-harm condition is empty: it holds at no asymmetric equilibrium of the supplier's problem. Proposition 3, which says the large buyer pays a lower wholesale price than the small rival, is unaffected.

Key Insight

On Inderst and Valletti's both-binding Hotelling path, the consumer-harm condition for the waterbed effect is never satisfied.

Keywords

  • waterbed effect
  • buyer power
  • mergers
  • Hotelling
  • vertical relations

Citation

Brian C. Albrecht (2026). "Consumer Harm from the Waterbed Effect: A Comment on Inderst and Valletti (2011)."

BibTeX

@article{waterbed_comment,
  title = {Consumer Harm from the Waterbed Effect: A Comment on Inderst and Valletti (2011)},
  author = {Brian C. Albrecht},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://briancalbrecht.com/Albrecht-IV-Waterbed-Comment.pdf}
}